Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 7.976695 8.832750 9.765568 10.861486 12.118799 13.522106 15.215128
2025-12-14 6.499742 7.565154 8.803172 10.360990 12.287151 14.614848 17.677847
2025-12-21 5.716960 6.879693 8.290902 10.153309 12.582233 15.693590 20.065958
2025-12-28 5.620446 6.978576 8.696355 11.070225 14.333644 18.767668 25.439706
2026-01-04 5.287382 6.724821 8.601972 11.292055 15.150109 20.651965 29.422066
2026-01-11 4.842714 6.274846 8.192187 11.019763 15.214904 21.438218 31.846515
2026-01-18 4.640857 6.129727 8.175176 11.283902 16.065876 23.469388 36.527002
2026-01-25 4.328773 5.803599 7.871169 11.089407 16.185522 24.355017 39.414289
2026-02-01 4.069213 5.531136 7.619321 10.942864 16.351800 25.316560 42.568158
2026-02-08 3.829812 5.270269 7.362734 10.761142 16.432607 26.128075 45.560081
2026-02-15 3.603262 5.013191 7.092359 10.531261 16.402888 26.730556 48.231479
2026-02-22 3.439225 4.838874 6.934978 10.467777 16.645111 27.841905 52.121405
2026-03-01 3.205436 4.551983 6.594592 10.091919 16.331452 27.934827 54.000376
2026-03-08 2.972246 4.254326 6.220569 9.633058 15.828174 27.610142 54.917910
2026-03-15 2.817176 4.069396 6.014413 9.443853 15.798519 28.209874 58.080255
2026-03-22 2.882195 4.233077 6.380618 10.279107 17.783970 33.198978 73.102310
2026-03-29 2.818283 4.185485 6.393161 10.480914 18.559438 35.747646 82.627696
2026-04-05 2.677436 4.005091 6.170800 10.233185 18.402068 36.196620 86.486666
2026-04-12 2.631656 3.978549 6.208789 10.473499 19.274772 39.142549 98.453946
2026-04-19 2.519082 3.834886 6.035195 10.296562 19.244550 39.935237 104.073816
2026-04-26 2.421000 3.711101 5.889704 10.163195 19.294817 40.933834 110.676406
2026-05-03 2.324160 3.585114 5.733648 9.997751 19.257469 41.706627 116.775404
2026-05-10 2.226575 3.453759 5.561447 9.788360 19.101134 42.150095 121.874782